Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
