Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	NAC Breda
59.07% ( -0.13)	21.74% ( 0.04)	19.19% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 54.44% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.57% (

-0.08)

43.43% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.17% (

-0.08)

65.83% (

0.08)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.64% (

-0.07)

14.36% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.78% (

-0.13)

42.22% (

0.13)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.57% (

0.04)

36.43% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.78% (

0.04)

73.22% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 59.07%

NAC Breda 19.19%

Draw 21.74%

De Graafschap	Draw	NAC Breda
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 59.07%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.74%	0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 19.19%