Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
