SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Dordrecht |
50.83% ( 0.49) | 23.06% ( -0.14) | 26.11% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 59.31% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.67% ( 0.34) | 41.33% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.27% ( 0.34) | 63.73% ( -0.35) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% ( 0.3) | 16.39% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.97% ( 0.55) | 46.03% ( -0.55) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( -0.09) | 29.06% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.03% ( -0.11) | 64.97% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.4% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.36% Total : 26.11% |
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