SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Helmond Sport |
37.19% ( 0.02) | 23.77% ( -0.01) | 39.03% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.33% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.26% ( 0.05) | 39.74% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.9% ( 0.05) | 62.09% ( -0.05) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% ( 0.03) | 21.49% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.46% ( 0.05) | 54.53% ( -0.05) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( 0.02) | 20.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( 0.03) | 53.14% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.19% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 39.03% |
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