Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Roda JC had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Roda JC win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.