Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
