Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 63.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NAC Breda in this match.