Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 54.33%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.