SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
47.2% ( 0.34) | 24.76% ( -0.01) | 28.04% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 55.19% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.48% ( -0.16) | 47.52% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.27% ( -0.14) | 69.73% ( 0.15) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( 0.08) | 20.19% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.5% ( 0.13) | 52.5% ( -0.13) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( -0.32) | 30.85% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( -0.39) | 67.13% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 47.2% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.97% Total : 28.04% |
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