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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
48.96% ( 0.06) | 23.11% ( 0.13) | 27.93% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 60.78% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.88% ( -0.77) | 40.11% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.52% ( -0.8) | 62.48% ( 0.8) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( -0.27) | 16.61% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.56% ( -0.48) | 46.44% ( 0.48) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.89% ( -0.52) | 27.11% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.5% ( -0.69) | 62.5% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.38% Total : 48.96% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 3% Total : 27.93% |
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