SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 38.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
38.12% ( 0.82) | 23.83% ( -0.11) | 38.05% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 62.15% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.01% ( 0.58) | 39.99% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.64% ( 0.59) | 62.36% ( -0.59) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% ( 0.66) | 21.15% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46% ( 1.02) | 54% ( -1.01) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( -0.09) | 21.18% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.94% ( -0.14) | 54.06% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.76% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 38.05% |
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