SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | De Graafschap |
49.64% ( -0.32) | 22% ( 0.04) | 28.36% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 65.18% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.52% ( 0.03) | 34.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.59% ( 0.03) | 56.4% ( -0.03) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.69% ( -0.1) | 14.31% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.88% ( -0.18) | 42.12% ( 0.18) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( 0.19) | 23.94% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.83% ( 0.27) | 58.17% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 49.64% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.36% |
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