SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
63.38% ( -0.61) | 19.39% ( 0.19) | 17.23% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.28% ( -0.12) | 35.72% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.22% ( -0.13) | 57.78% ( 0.14) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.26% ( -0.19) | 10.74% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.29% ( -0.42) | 34.71% ( 0.43) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% ( 0.4) | 33.95% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.37% ( 0.43) | 70.63% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.88% Total : 63.38% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.39% | 1-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.8% Total : 17.23% |
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