SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Heracles |
33.05% ( -0.04) | 23.94% ( -0.01) | 43.01% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.6% ( 0.03) | 41.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.21% ( 0.03) | 63.79% ( -0.02) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% ( -0.01) | 24.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.04% ( -0.02) | 58.96% ( 0.02) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( 0.04) | 19.49% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% ( 0.05) | 51.37% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.05% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0)1-4 @ 2% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 43.01% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
