SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
40.92% ( 1.43) | 23.36% ( -0.01) | 35.72% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 63.69% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.1% ( -0.15) | 37.9% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.85% ( -0.16) | 60.15% ( 0.17) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( 0.57) | 18.96% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.52% ( 0.95) | 50.48% ( -0.94) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( -0.78) | 21.41% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.59% ( -1.21) | 54.41% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.48% Total : 40.92% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.72% |
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