SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Helmond Sport |
57.71% ( -0.04) | 22.08% ( 0.02) | 20.21% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( -0.08) | 43.46% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% ( -0.08) | 65.85% ( 0.08) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.2% ( -0.04) | 14.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.93% ( -0.08) | 43.07% ( 0.08) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( -0.03) | 35.39% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% ( -0.03) | 72.15% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 57.71% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 20.21% |
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