SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 12.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Jong Ajax |
72.95% ( -0.02) | 14.9% ( -0.02) | 12.15% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 63.18% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.37% ( 0.2) | 24.63% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.57% ( 0.27) | 44.43% ( -0.27) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.11% ( 0.04) | 5.89% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.43% ( 0.12) | 22.56% ( -0.12) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( 0.21) | 32.87% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.56% ( 0.23) | 69.44% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 8.15% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.94% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.73% Total : 72.95% | 1-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 14.9% | 1-2 @ 3.39% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 12.15% |
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