SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 73.39%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 10.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Helmond Sport |
73.39% ( -0.46) | 16.28% ( 0.23) | 10.33% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.56% ( -0.44) | 37.43% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.34% ( -0.48) | 59.65% ( 0.47) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.19% ( -0.21) | 8.8% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.8% ( -0.52) | 30.19% ( 0.52) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.92% ( 0.13) | 45.08% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19% ( 0.11) | 80.99% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.37% Total : 73.39% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.91% Total : 16.28% | 0-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 10.33% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
