SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 70.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 12.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-3 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Willem II |
12.38% ( 0.36) | 16.83% ( 0.74) | 70.79% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.53% ( -1.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.89% ( -2.77) | 34.1% ( 2.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.01% ( -3.2) | 55.98% ( 3.2) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.72% ( -1.34) | 39.28% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.01% ( -1.27) | 75.98% ( 1.28) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.44% ( -0.91) | 8.55% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.41% ( -2.29) | 29.59% ( 2.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 12.38% | 1-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.83% | 0-2 @ 10.15% ( 0.57) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 8.32% ( 0.11)0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.81)1-3 @ 7.78% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 5.12% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 4.78% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.22)0-5 @ 2.52% ( -0.2)1-5 @ 2.35% ( -0.28)2-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.25)2-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.18)0-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.13)1-6 @ 0.96% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.05% Total : 70.79% |
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