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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Ipswich Town |
42.01% ( 0.37) | 24.18% ( 0.09) | 33.8% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 60.17% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.69% ( -0.53) | 42.3% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% ( -0.54) | 64.71% ( 0.54) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( -0.06) | 20.32% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.3% ( -0.09) | 52.69% ( 0.09) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( -0.51) | 24.49% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.05% ( -0.72) | 58.94% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.8% |
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