Aston Villa
0 - 1
Stoke

Davis (59'), Ramsey (65')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vokes (26')

Preview

Aston Villa boss Dean Smith rues "missed opportunity" in EFL Cup

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Stoke City
34.75%	26.35%	38.9%

Both teams to score 52.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.21%

51.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.45%

73.55%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54%

28.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.78%

64.22%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96%

26.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.92%

61.08%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 34.75%

Stoke City 38.9%

Draw 26.35%

Aston Villa	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.31% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.75%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 3.78% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.9%