Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match.
