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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Molineux
BL

Wolves
2 - 3
Brighton

Guedes (12'), Neves (35' pen.)
Castro (62'), Collins (65')
Semedo (45+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Lallana (10'), Mitoma (44'), Gross (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-1 Chelsea
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Costa was not exactly answering the call for Wolves' attacking crisis, but his suspension has only deepened Davis's woes in that area, and the hosts are arguably facing Brighton at the worst time. With a near fully-fit squad and morale surely at its highest point of the season so far, we can only envisage the Seagulls ending their sticky patch on the road with a professional performance and three points to go with it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
38.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.32%35.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.11% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)51.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)73.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.55% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (0.016999999999996 0.02)27.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (0.020000000000003 0.02)63.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 38.09%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 35.59%
    Draw 26.31%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 8% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 6.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-4 Leicester
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-1 Wolves
Tuesday, October 18 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Wolves
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Wolves
Saturday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-1 Chelsea
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Brighton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-0 Brighton
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Spurs
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-3 Brighton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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