Brentford will be the favourites to claim the victory on Tuesday, but we are expecting a close match between two well-matched sides. The Bees impressed against Benfica last time out and should have enough quality to record a narrow victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Brentford
35.92% ( -0.01)	24.69% ( -0)	39.39% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.8% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.73% (

0.01)

44.28% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.35% (

0.01)

66.65% (

-0)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.78% (

-0)

24.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.44% (

-0.01)

58.56% (

0.01)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6% (

0.01)

22.4% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.08% (

0.02)

55.92% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 35.92%

Brentford 39.39%

Draw 24.69%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Brentford
2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 35.92%	1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.39%