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NL
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
LL

Norwich
0 - 3
Liverpool


Lees-Melou (71'), Rupp (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Minamino (4', 80'), Origi (50')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 19.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLiverpool
19.17%22.26%58.57%
Both teams to score 52.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27%45.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95%68.05%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22%37.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44%74.56%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71%15.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56%44.01%
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 19.17%
    Liverpool 58.56%
    Draw 22.26%
Norwich CityDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 5.62%
2-1 @ 5.14%
2-0 @ 2.74%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 19.17%
1-1 @ 10.56%
0-0 @ 5.78%
2-2 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.26%
0-1 @ 10.85%
0-2 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 6.21%
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-4 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 2.91%
2-4 @ 1.42%
0-5 @ 1.13%
1-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 58.56%

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