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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
City Ground
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Nott'm Forest
2 - 2
Brentford

Gibbs-White (20'), Jorgensen (90+6' og.)
Yates (35'), Henderson (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mbeumo (45+3' pen.), Wissa (75')
Janelt (31'), Mbeumo (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBrentford
37.1% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 26.81% (0.00099999999999767 0) 36.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 51.54% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.41% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)53.58% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)63.53% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)28.51% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)64.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 37.09%
    Brentford 36.09%
    Draw 26.8%
Nottingham ForestDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 37.09%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 8%
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.09%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Aston Villa
Monday, October 10 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 4-0 Nott'm Forest
Monday, October 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Brentford
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-0 Brighton
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-0 Brentford
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Premier League


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