Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.