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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
CP

Plymouth
2 - 4
Crystal Palace

Waine (6'), Cundle (46')
Butcher (79'), Scarr (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Edouard (58'), Mateta (61', 62', 83')
Mateta (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Plymouth Argyle 0-2 Crystal Palace

While Plymouth will be looking to pick up where they dropped off in the first round, they face the daunting challenge of a well-drilled Crystal Palace side who have been solid this season. Hodgson's side boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we predict that they will build on the positives from Saturday's draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCrystal Palace
34.89% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 25.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 39.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.51% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (0.036999999999999 0.04)47.18% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.035 0.04)69.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (0.033000000000001 0.03)26.17% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (0.043999999999997 0.04)61.25% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.47% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)57.49% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 34.89%
    Crystal Palace 39.82%
    Draw 25.29%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 34.89%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, August 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Plymouth
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-1 Arsenal
Monday, August 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-0 Lyon
Saturday, August 5 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Sevilla (0-1 pen.)
Monday, July 31 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-2 Millonarios
Thursday, July 27 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1


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