Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.