Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
