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EFL Cup | Round of 16
Oct 30, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
MC

Spurs
2 - 1
Man City

Werner (5'), Sarr (25')
Sarr (23'), Bissouma (53'), Gray (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nunes (45+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-0 Spurs
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.79%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.54%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawManchester City
27.51% (-2.612 -2.61) 21.7% (-0.34 -0.34) 50.79% (2.951 2.95)
Both teams to score 65.59% (-0.761 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.36% (-0.167 -0.17)33.64% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.54% (-0.191 -0.19)55.46% (0.192 0.19)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (-1.695 -1.7)24.06% (1.695 1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67% (-2.475 -2.48)58.33% (2.474 2.47)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36% (0.905 0.91)13.63% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.2% (1.774 1.77)40.8% (-1.775 -1.78)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 27.51%
    Manchester City 50.79%
    Draw 21.7%
Tottenham HotspurDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 6.63% (-0.399 -0.4)
1-0 @ 4.67% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-0 @ 3.33% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.24 -0.24)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 27.51%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-0 @ 3.28% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.09% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.7%
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.223 0.22)
0-1 @ 6.54% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.466 0.47)
1-3 @ 6.16% (0.342 0.34)
2-3 @ 4.39% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.33% (0.439 0.44)
1-4 @ 3.07% (0.264 0.26)
2-4 @ 2.19% (0.086 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.16% (0.282 0.28)
1-5 @ 1.22% (0.141 0.14)
3-4 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 50.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-0 Spurs
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 AZ
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spurs 4-1 West Ham
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 3-2 Spurs
Sunday, October 6 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-2 Spurs
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Spurs
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 5-0 Sparta Prague
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Man City
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Fulham
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 0-4 Man City
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 Man City
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Premier League


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