SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 50.79%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.54%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester City |
27.51% ( -2.61) | 21.7% ( -0.34) | 50.79% ( 2.95) |
| Both teams to score 65.59% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.36% ( -0.17) | 33.64% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.54% ( -0.19) | 55.46% ( 0.19) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( -1.7) | 24.06% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.67% ( -2.48) | 58.33% ( 2.47) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.36% ( 0.91) | 13.63% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.2% ( 1.77) | 40.8% ( -1.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.76% Total : 27.51% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.7% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.44)1-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.26)2-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.28)1-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.14)3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.91% Total : 50.79% |
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