SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.49%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 23.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester City |
23.42% ( -0.33) | 23.1% ( -0.04) | 53.49% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.91% ( -0.16) | 44.09% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( -0.16) | 66.47% ( 0.16) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.38) | 32.73% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% ( -0.42) | 69.29% ( 0.42) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( 0.07) | 16.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.87% ( 0.13) | 46.13% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.42% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.49% |
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