Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
