Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Stoke City
57.57%	23.5%	18.93%

Both teams to score 48.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.83%

51.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.99%

73.01%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.46%

17.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.92%

48.07%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.79%

41.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.25%

77.74%

Score Analysis

Brentford 57.56%

Stoke City 18.93%

Draw 23.5%

Brentford	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 12.58% 2-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 5.63% 4-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.56%	1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 6.41% 1-2 @ 4.94% 0-2 @ 2.84% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.93%