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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
BL

Swansea
2 - 3
Bournemouth

Grimes (9' pen.), Paterson (79')
Ginnelly (24'), Abdulai (52'), Naughton (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brooks (55'), Traore (68'), Christie (90+1')
Brooks (21'), Senesi (39'), Solanke (86'), Kerkez (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Swansea
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Spurs
Saturday, August 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Bournemouth

Bournemouth have a stronger squad than Swansea, and we are expecting the Premier League outfit to book their spot in the third round of the competition. The Cherries have enjoyed their recent matches against Swansea, and we are backing that to continue in Tuesday's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBournemouth
56.05% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 22.12% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 21.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.41% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49% (0.017000000000003 0.02)41.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.91% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)14.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.17% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.83% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 56.05%
    Bournemouth 21.83%
    Draw 22.12%
Swansea CityDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 10.29%
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Swansea
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 3-2 Swansea
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Spurs
Saturday, August 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Lorient
Saturday, August 5 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-3 Atalanta
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Southampton 2-3 Bournemouth
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1


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