SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Bournemouth |
68.48% ( -0.63) | 17.83% ( 0.28) | 13.68% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.22% ( -0.55) | 35.77% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.15% ( -0.61) | 57.85% ( 0.61) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.49% ( -0.29) | 9.51% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.11% ( -0.68) | 31.88% ( 0.68) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.54% ( 0.13) | 38.46% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.79% ( 0.13) | 75.21% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.36% Total : 68.48% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.83% | 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.68% |
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