SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
53.66% ( -0.6) | 24.9% ( 0.19) | 21.43% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.38% ( -0.28) | 53.62% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.88% ( -0.24) | 75.12% ( 0.23) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( -0.35) | 19.95% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.89% ( -0.56) | 52.11% ( 0.56) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% ( 0.26) | 39.93% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.41% ( 0.24) | 76.59% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.84% 2-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.43% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
