Wigan desperately need to go for the victory on Tuesday, which should play into Stoke's hands. The home side do not have much to play for at this stage of the campaign but are likely to be too strong for Wigan, who look set to drop back down into League One for the 2023-24 campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
-0.6) 
0.19) 
