Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
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