Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.