SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
36.34% ( 0.52) | 25.46% ( -0.05) | 38.19% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 56.09% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.2% ( 0.27) | 47.8% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.01% ( 0.25) | 69.99% ( -0.25) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( 0.42) | 25.62% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.5% ( 0.57) | 60.51% ( -0.57) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0.12) | 24.6% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% ( -0.18) | 59.1% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.34% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.2% |
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