Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
-0.17) 
0.43) 
