SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
17.45% ( -3.09) | 21.58% ( -0.98) | 60.97% ( 4.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( -2.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( -0.32) | 45.45% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( -0.3) | 67.78% ( 0.3) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.42% ( -3.56) | 39.57% ( 3.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.74% ( -3.46) | 76.26% ( 3.46) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( 1.21) | 14.43% ( -1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.64% ( 2.3) | 42.36% ( -2.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.7)2-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.3)Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.45% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.46)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.57% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.6) 0-2 @ 10.7% ( 1.01)1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.91% ( 0.91)1-3 @ 6.4% ( 0.28)0-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.56)1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.26)1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.65% Total : 60.97% |
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