SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
31.27% ( -0.16) | 24.98% ( 0.05) | 43.75% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.18% ( -0.28) | 46.82% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.93% ( -0.27) | 69.07% ( 0.27) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( -0.24) | 28.23% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% ( -0.31) | 63.94% ( 0.31) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% ( -0.07) | 21.42% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.57% ( -0.11) | 54.43% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.27% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.75% |
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