Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
-0.52) 
0.09) 
