Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
