Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Morecambe |
41.46% ( 0.77) | 25.97% ( -0.08) | 32.57% ( -0.7) |
Both teams to score 53.62% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.35% ( 0.15) | 50.64% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.45% ( 0.13) | 72.55% ( -0.14) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( 0.46) | 24.18% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.5% ( 0.66) | 58.5% ( -0.66) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( -0.38) | 29.28% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( -0.46) | 65.24% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.57% |
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