SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Morecambe |
41.46% ( 0.77) | 25.97% ( -0.08) | 32.57% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.35% ( 0.15) | 50.64% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.45% ( 0.13) | 72.55% ( -0.14) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( 0.46) | 24.18% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.5% ( 0.66) | 58.5% ( -0.66) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( -0.38) | 29.28% ( 0.37) |
