Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
