Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
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