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League Two | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
HT

Stevenage
1 - 0
Harrogate

Sweeney (90')
Vancooten (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Wycombe
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 3-0 Harrogate Town

Harrogate Town are a team low on confidence, and struggling for goals this season, and that is not a good combination when playing Stevenage away. The hosts have been one of the strongest sides in the division across the opening nine matches, and they will be the heavy favourites on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 54.37%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
StevenageDrawHarrogate Town
54.37% (0.944 0.94) 25.02% (-0.384 -0.38) 20.61% (-0.56 -0.56)
Both teams to score 46.65% (0.316 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (0.817 0.82)54.92% (-0.818 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (0.67 0.67)76.21% (-0.67 -0.67)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (0.70699999999999 0.71)20.18% (-0.707 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.52% (1.123 1.12)52.48% (-1.122 -1.12)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.45% (-0.123 -0.12)41.55% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (-0.107 -0.11)78.04% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 54.36%
    Harrogate Town 20.61%
    Draw 25.01%
StevenageDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 13.41% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.73% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.73% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.151 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.124 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 54.36%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.262 -0.26)
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 20.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Wycombe
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bradford 3-0 Stevenage
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Newport
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Stevenage
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Salford City
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Harrogate
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Harrogate 0-4 Newport
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Harrogate
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two


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