Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
0.39) 
-0.32) 
